Some high-cost housing areas are losing population. Yet a surprising number of young adults are moving to expensive regions to claim jobs. That’s especially true for those in the Gen Z cohort, born after 1997 and now entering their home-buying years.
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An analysis by Zillow, the national real estate company, indicates that 215,000 California residents moved out of the state in 2022. Yet during the same year, 44,000 Gen Zers moved there from other states.
It’s not just California that’s attracting young people. Many Gen Z movers from all over the country are relocating to areas where housing, whether rental or purchase, is more expensive. These include pricey parts of Colorado, Virginia, Texas and Washington state.
Many of these movers are recent college grads who’ve been recruited for well-paying jobs, says Edward Berchick, a population scientist for Zillow. As a rule, those in this generation are still flexible about their lifestyles. That means they are likely open to either renting or buying a home.
Longtime real estate pros say there are positives as well as negatives related to purchasing a place while you’re still in your 20s.
“For most young adults with salaried positions who are ready to settle down, buying a home is a much better alternative than renting indefinitely. You don’t want to set your course based on some economic forecast that could be all wrong,” says Fred Meyer, a Massachusetts-based real estate appraiser and broker.
Of course, there are some employment situations, such as military positions, that don’t lend themselves to the financial stability that’s important for those weighing the advantages and disadvantages of homeownership.
“You wouldn’t want to take a mortgage for a house that’s based on your current job if you know your boss is mad at you and could fire you soon. Also, you should wait to buy if you’re starting a new business that’s still unproven,” Meyer says.
Here are a few pointers for potential first-time buyers:
-- Do a sober assessment of your job stability.
Victor Hess, a certified financial planner, urges those planning to buy a first home to consider the nature of their employment before making any major decisions.
“Jobs aren’t permanent anymore, so it’s smart to play it safe with all major financial decisions, including buying a house,” Hess says.
“A successful company can always get bought out, resulting in extensive layoffs,” Hess notes.
Nor should government workers become overconfident about keeping their jobs, he says.
“Government jobs -- whether at the local, state or federal level -- are still somewhat more stable than are corporate jobs. However, due to our changing economy, you can expect more job cuts in this sector, too,” Hess says.
If you’re a doctor or lawyer with a specialty that’s in demand, you can almost always get another well-paying position quickly, he says. But those who don’t possess highly coveted skills should take a conservative approach when determining their affordability range.
Hess, who’s both a CPA and a financial planner, generally advises his home-buying clients to spend no more than one-third of their gross household income on mortgage payments. But he allows that this rule of thumb may not apply to those who have set aside the equivalent of at least six months’ worth of income in their savings accounts.
-- Don’t assume that your mortgage lender knows your budget limits.
Many would-be buyers emerge from their lenders’ offices with a big smile. That’s because the lender has preapproved them to borrow more than they’d expected.
But should you rely solely on your lender’s advice when deciding how much you can afford for housing payments? Absolutely not, Hess says.
“Since they work on commissions, mortgage lenders are motivated to push you to the highest borrowing limit they can,” he contends.
-- Seek a neutral advisor for planning help.
Financial planners and tax accountants are generally not in a position to judge your job stability. But many can provide perspective on the potential cash-flow implications of your home-buying plans.
Before you set out to shop for a home, Hess suggests you talk over the matter with an independent financial advisor who charges by the hour.
“I can’t imagine this taking more than two to three hours,” Hess says.
The financial adviser you choose should be able to calculate the tax benefits available to you through your mortgage interest deductions.
“It’s not uncommon for people to overestimate these benefits when they’re buying a home,” he says.
-- Be especially cautious if you’re moving to a new city.
Making a long-distance move to join a new company always comes with a degree of uncertainty. Will you like both the new area and the new job? And will the new employer want to keep you on?
Until some of these questions can be answered, Hess suggests you consider taking a rental unit for a few months rather than buying a home immediately. That way you reduce the risk that you’d have to resell the place quickly and at a possible loss.
“I’m a huge believer that homeownership is the right choice. Usually, renting doesn’t make financial sense. But when you’re relocating for a job and there’s some doubt that your new situation will work out, you may want to wait for six months to a year before buying that fancy house,” he says.
(To contact Ellen James Martin, email her at ellenjamesmartin@gmail.com.)