It’s rare for economists to agree on the state of the nation’s real estate market. But right now, they concur that home sales should prove robust this spring.
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“We’re finally beginning to see owners who have been putting off moves return to the market,” says Skylar Olsen, chief economist at Zillow, the Seattle-based real estate behemoth.
For several years --indeed, since before the pandemic began in 2020 -- many potential home sellers have been sitting on the sidelines. One huge factor has been the steep rise in mortgage rates, making owners reluctant to move lest they lose their locked-in rock-bottom mortgage rate.
Earlier this year, homeowners keen to sell had hoped for a near-term drop in rates this year. But even though such hopes are fading, more owners are determined to sell anyway, either to upsize or downsize to smaller quarters.
“For many households with record-high equity, waiting out potentially lower rates later in the year may not be worth it,” Olsen says.
Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst for Realtor.com, the home listing firm, says that this spring there’s been a nearly 20% surge in new listings compared to last year.
The increase in listings is a reason for celebration among buyers who’ve had few property alternatives until now, says Chen Zhao, a lead economist for Redfin, the national real estate brokerage.
“The uptick in listings should be another motivator for buyers. There’s more to choose from, and improving inventory may bring out more competition from other buyers as we get further into spring,“ Zhao says.
Margaret Lebenson, who sells homes in New York City, cautions that owners who have only recently decided to move should “pick up the pace” to compete well with rival sellers this season. She urges them to do necessary updates quickly.
“Buyers really want a place in move-in condition. They don’t have the time or money for anything more than a paint job,” Lebenson says.
Here are a few pointers for sellers in a hurry:
-- Hire a listing agent as early as possible.
“Through the years, I’ve gotten many calls from eleventh-hour sellers in a panic. Sometimes I feel like an EMT running an ambulance,” says Sid Davis, a Utah-based listing agent.
When he first entered real estate in 1985, he recalls how clients would typically call for help many months before they intended to put their property on the market. Now, with more harried, two-income households, many don’t contact him more than a few weeks in advance.
Once you know you’re definitely going to move, he says it’s prudent to begin interviewing prospective listing agents and then to promptly select one to represent you.
“People who have enough time to get all their ducks in a row and use it wisely have a huge advantage over those who start late,” says Davis, author of “Home Makeovers That Sell.”
-- Ask for data on selling times.
Suppose you’re a nurse for a national hospital chain who’s accepted a promotion in a faraway state. How can you estimate the time needed to go from list to sale?
Dorcas Helfant, a past president of the National Association of Realtors, recommends you ask your agent for statistics on the average selling times for homes in your neighborhood.
“Keep in mind that the only numbers that are relevant are those for your own community. National statistics don’t matter,” Helfant says.
-- Accelerate your packing process.
In his experience, Davis says a majority of sellers don’t see the point of packing early for their move.
Besides painting and repairs, nearly all sellers need to go through an exhaustive clearing-out process to ensure their property doesn’t seem crowded. Your first step should be to remove any large excess furnishings. Then box up smaller items and position them neatly in your garage or a rented storage unit.
“It’s very easy to underestimate how long it takes to go through all your personal things ... But trust me, you won’t miss all that extra stuff you’ve packed away,” Davis says.
-- Allow yourself extra selling time when moving to a brand-new home.
These days, it’s uncommon for a homebuilder to sign a sales contract with a prospective buyer that’s conditional on the sale of the buyer’s property.
Consequently, those who seek to buy a place in a popular new subdivision take the gamble that they’ll sell their current property before the builder has completed the new one. But that’s better than the alternative.
“Buyers who don’t have a contingent contract and can’t afford to carry two homes at once are putting themselves in financial jeopardy,” Davis says.
Because it can take months to construct a house -- and it’s not unusual for builders to take longer than expected -- some buyers wait longer than they should before trying to sell their current property, according to Davis.
“Unfair as it seems, remember this is a one-way street. The sales contract may let the builder finish construction late but give you little grace time to get your old place sold,” he says.
Many listing agents urge sellers who intend to move to a brand-new home to be extra cautious in estimating how long they’ll need to sell. It’s better to be ready to move early, they insist.
“Granted, if you sell earlier than expected, you might have to take a short-term rental or move in with family temporarily. But the hassles of interim housing are a lot better than the disappointment of surrendering your chance for a wonderful new house,” Davis says.
(To contact Ellen James Martin, email her at ellenjamesmartin@gmail.com.)