Real estate agents say many homebuyers who aspire to larger housing are playing a waiting game.
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These are owners who feel cramped in their starter homes. They made it through the pandemic in small, crowded quarters. But many now have growing families -- including a dog or two -- they wish to accommodate. Others seek dual home offices where both partners can have ample space for telework.
But despite craving more square footage, they’re holding off on a trade-up move until later this year or early next year. One major reason is their expectation that mortgage rates could fall more in the coming weeks. Another influence is that the presidential election could potentially affect the economy.
“Elections don’t usually affect real estate sales. But that’s different this year. So many voters think the stakes are high and tax policies could change a lot,” says Mark Nash, author of “1001 Tips for Buying and Selling a Home.”
One nagging concern that’s troubled buyers for several years is the shortage of available properties. But the inventory problem is now reversing as an increasing number of owners are putting their homes up for sale.
Indeed, available inventory has been expanding every week for more than 40 weeks -- with an especially big bump this past week, says Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst for Realtor.com, the home listing service.
She and other economists are optimistic that home sales will rise by the first quarter of 2025.
“This summer’s housing market was a bit lackluster, but falling mortgage rates may infuse some energy yet,” Jones says.
Housing specialists cite still another factor that could encourage increased home sales activity in the coming months. That’s the sizable pent-up demand for larger properties among starter-home owners.
“One universal among young Americans is their preference for large, open-concept housing,” says Nash, who long sold homes in the Chicago area.
Here are a few pointers for those who wish to acquire a larger home at a fair price:
-- Find out as much as possible about the owner’s position.
“Before making an offer on any property at any time, you’ll want to learn as much as you can about the sellers’ situation. Remember that information is power when you negotiate,” Nash says.
He suggests that would-be purchasers ask their real estate agent to research public records to determine when the present owners bought their house, what they paid and how big a mortgage they took out.
If they bought before the pandemic started in 2020, the odds are good they still have substantial equity, unless they gutted most of that with a big home equity loan or a cash-out refinance.
“Sellers who have positive equity have more latitude for bargaining. They can cut you a good deal and still move away with a check in their pocket,” says Tom Early, an Ohio real estate broker.
-- Have your buyer’s agent ask direct questions to the listing agent.
Listing agents are sometimes surprisingly candid when responding to questions about their clients’ situation.
“If the owners are under extreme pressure to sell, the listing agent may even tell your agent their actual bottom-line price to let the house go,” says Early, a past president of the National Association of Exclusive Buyer Agents (naeba.org).
But what if the sellers are not under duress to sell quickly? That, too, can be useful in setting the pace for your negotiations.
Early, an Ohio real estate broker, recalls clients who were trying to buy an oversized family home from a retired couple who wished to move to their out-of-state vacation property. Because the sellers owned their primary residence free and clear, they could afford to wait. So the clients paced their negotiation with timing in mind, Early says.
-- Hold out for the big price drop on a “stale listing.”
Compared with a year or two ago, many more home sellers are pricing their properties at their true market value, or possibly even slightly below. But even now, there are a few laggards in the group who insist on listing their property at a price that’s too high.
“Some people ... demand more than their homes are worth, even though they have to sell against their will. This is particularly likely among sellers in high-end neighborhoods, who’ve often invested large sums to customize their properties,” Early says.
But eventually, people with financial issues must sober up and sell at a realistic price or see their properties taken away from them through foreclosure.
Have you fallen in love with a princely property that went on the market months ago with a bloated price tag? Are you confident the sellers must move soon and will eventually have to take a drastic price cut to get their place sold?
If so, Early urges you to prepare yourself to submit an immediate bid as soon as its owners face reality and take a major price cut. Make sure you have a preapproval letter from a reputable lender showing you have the income and good credit to go through with the deal.
“Sometimes, high-end sellers have to take a major discount. That’s the exact moment when you should pounce on that property. Jump in with both feet, and you could soon be the owner of the house of your dreams,” Early says.
(To contact Ellen James Martin, email her at ellenjamesmartin@gmail.com.)