A 29-year-old accountant grew up in a wealthy Maryland suburb of Washington, D.C. All four children in her family had large bedrooms, each with a private bath. The accountant attended an exclusive private girls’ high school and an Ivy League college. To say she had an advantageous upbringing would be an understatement.
Advertisement
But much has changed. After losing their lucrative federal contracting business, the young woman’s parents had to sell their $2 million Tudor-style house to pay off business debts. That meant they lacked funds to give their daughter for a down payment on the townhouse she wants to buy. Her only cash is what she’s saved from her modest job.
“The money is there to buy a two-bedroom place -- the so-called ‘starter home’ my friends all talk about owning. But I was an economics major. And all the uncertainty I see now really scares me about making a big purchase,” she says.
Sheryl Palmer, the CEO of Taylor Morrison, a large homebuilding firm, doesn’t know the accountant in this true story. Yet she says there are now many young would-be homeowners waiting on the sidelines.
“Buyers hate uncertainty,” says Palmer, who believes buyer hesitancy is a major factor limiting first-time buyers, along with high mortgage rates. She contends flagging consumer sentiment is putting a damper on the usually robust springtime home sales market.
At the end of the day, the young accountant says she’s decided to go forward with her townhouse purchase this spring, despite her concerns about the economy and whether the country is heading into a recession.
“Renting is so annoying and tiresome. Before I turn 30, I want the freedom and control that comes with homeownership,” she says.
Here are a few pointers for buyers:
-- Don’t let economic unease stop you from buying.
For undecided buyers, Kevin Simrin, a veteran real estate broker in Oregon, offers some sage advice.
“If now is the right time for you and your family to buy a first home, or to step up to a better one, don’t let fear stop you. But be sure to use data and not emotion to avoid overpaying,” says Simrin, who’s sold homes since 1989.
Before committing to purchase any property, Simrin urges buyers to review data on comparable sales for similar homes in the same neighborhood that have closed within the last six or fewer months.
He’s also a big advocate for making any offer conditional on a thorough home inspection that would let you back out of the deal should your inspector discover major issues.
“A really solid whole-house inspection can cost as much as $400 to $600. But it’s worth it because of all the protection it gives you,” he says.
Even though Simrin encourages buyer caution, he says current purchasers have less reason to fear overpaying than did those who bought a place prior to the housing crisis that hit in 2008.
-- Seek a neighborhood with appreciation potential.
Eric Tyson, a personal finance expert based in Connecticut, says buyers seeking to evaluate the direction of the economy should rely less on the statements of political leaders than on more objective economic forecasts.
One source of national research that Tyson trusts for its neutrality is the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (stlouisfed.org).
However, as good as they are, national prognostications are of less value to you as a would-be buyer than information that helps you assess the relative strength of the neighborhoods where you’re considering buying a home.
To locate the parts of your metro area that have the best prospects for appreciation, Tyson suggest you start with a regional map. On this, pinpoint major employers, such as corporate headquarters and military bases, where jobs are expanding. Locate communities with good public schools. Also, identify areas served by popular public transit lines, including new light rail systems that cater to traffic-weary commuters.
-- Endeavor to track the direction of your local market.
Comparable sales data won’t give you the whole story on property values. You also need statistics on the direction of the neighborhood market -- whether prices are heading up, down or sideways.
Tyson recommends you request statistics on the median price of a home sold in the past month versus the prior month.
Also ask for median price comparisons on a yearly basis. These statistics should give you a good feel for the trend. Then use these data when crafting a bid for a property you like.
-- Slow down the homebuying process.
Even today, there are neighborhoods where buyers are locked in fierce competition over available homes. Some properties are still selling just hours after going on the market. These are areas where offers are written hurriedly -- perhaps on the hood of a car. In these select areas, it’s still common for sellers to receive multiple bids from buyers offering more than the asking price.
But in most places, buyers are gradually gaining bargaining power. And that spells opportunity.
“Impulse can be the enemy of an unenlightened homebuyer. Sure, you want to be competitive for a property you truly love. But always keep your hand on your wallet when you do,” Tyson says.
(To contact Ellen James Martin, email her at ellenjamesmartin@gmail.com.)