A young Maryland couple -- an eye doctor and her accountant husband --have been renting a bungalow near her private practice for two years. As parents of a newborn girl, they’re paying $1,900 a month for childcare, which constrains their budget for housing. Even so, they’re spending more than that on rent.
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Lately the pair have determined they’d be better off as homeowners than as renters. And they see no advantage in waiting to buy.
“In the suburb where we live, prices are on an endless escalator,” the doctor says. Also, our landlord is planning to sell his property. That means, even if we stay as renters, we’ll be forced to move. So, we feel an urgent need to buy a place soon.”
Of course, there are parts of the country where home prices are now slipping somewhat, including in some formerly overheated markets in Florida and Texas. But elsewhere, prices continue to rise due to relatively limited availability and general inflation.
A report by the National Association of Realtors (nar.realtor) says that about 90% of metro-area residential properties rose in value in the fourth quarter of last year. For buyers, such price gains represent a disappointing trend. But that’s not true for owners.
“Record high home prices and the accompanying housing wealth gains are definitely good news for property owners. However, renters who are looking to transition into homeownership face significant hurdles,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors.
As Yun notes, the national median single-family existing home price climbed 4.8% in the fourth quarter to $410,000. Moreover, 32 markets, including the one where the doctor lives, are recording double-digit annual price appreciation.
Although motivated to soon make a purchase, the Maryland couple is nervous that they could overpay for a property in their chosen suburb, where prices soared during the pandemic. Due to the bidding wars common in the COVID-19 period, they note that several friends and relatives overpaid at the height of the market and now have buyer’s remorse.
“Overpaying is what we dread most,” the doctor says.
Here are a few pointers for purchasers:
--Seek out the internet for guidance -- but only as a starting point.
Several websites now provide free information on property values and can prove a valuable resource. One example is Zillow, which allows you to search data at either the property or neighborhood level. Another example is Redfin.
“These websites rely on publicly available data on housing transactions that have closed. The data (is) imperfect, but they take you to the right ballpark,” says Eric Tyson, a personal finance expert and co-author of “Home Buying for Dummies.”
-- Choose an established real estate agent familiar with your area.
The classic method used by real estate professionals to reach an estimation of value for a property is known as a “Comparative Market Analysis.” This technique is grounded in data on recent sales of similar homes to the one being judged.
“For people intending to buy in an area with lots of look-alike houses, this process is pretty simple. It’s much tougher if every home there is custom-built,” says Tom Early, a past president of the National Association of Exclusive Buyer Agents (naeba.org).
In any case, your real estate agent should find at least three transactions that are roughly comparable. Then the agent should add and subtract value based on differences – such as size, number of bathrooms, etc. -- between the home you like and the others.
-- Factor local economic trends into your analysis.
Property values are always subject to change. That’s why you need to look beyond closed deals to see where values are heading.
“It’s highly unusual for home values to rise or drop in a matter of hours or days, the way stocks can do on Wall Street. Yet over time, local economic trends can make all the difference,” Tyson says.
In a community that’s heavily reliant on just one employer, a wave of layoffs at a local company could seriously hinder values in the surrounding area. On the other hand, values might rise in an area that’s expected to benefit from a school boundary change.
“Access to a top-rated high school, like one with a strong record for admissions to prestigous colleges, is a huge asset for many homebuyers with school-age kids,” Early says.
-- Seek out seller concessions if you’re in a strong bargaining position.
Though a shortage of available homes in some popular neighborhoods is pushing up home prices, there are always exceptions to the rule. For example, a plethora of properties might be available in a community with an above-average level of new-home construction.
“Suppose you live in an area with a number of big new subdivisions. With so many new units, sellers of older homes can’t be too arrogant about their chances to grab an inflated price for an older place, especially one that has upkeep issues,” Tyson says.
Often, sellers are much more willing to yield on valuable “concessions” than give way on price. This helps protect their pride.
“The top-line price is often what’s most important to sellers rather than the few concessions they must make. That’s because their pride is at stake when neighbors inquire about how well they did on their sale,” Tyson says. (To contact Ellen James Martin, email her at ellenjamesmartin@gmail.com.)